PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	173,939.01 704.34M	2.37% 4027.06
ALLSHR	103,800.94 1,437.41M	2.39% 2426.33
KSE30	52,809.97 362.40M	2.60% 1336.81
KMI30	250,755.67 244.03M	1.91% 4699.35
KMIALLSHR	67,535.39 726.81M	2.02% 1339.91
BKTi	48,513.82 194.95M	4.11% 1916.74
OGTi	36,285.58 28.58M	3.08% 1083.83

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	77,545.00	0.00 0.00	-55.00 -0.07%
BRENT CRUDE	92.42	98.98 86.09	-6.97 -7.01%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	103.25	103.25 103.25	0.00 0.00%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	101.45	102.95 101.45	-1.50 -1.46%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,175.00	1,175.00 1,175.00	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	84.00	0.00 0.00	1.41 1.71%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	13.50	13.89 13.39	-0.30 -2.17%