PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

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Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date After 1 Month After 3 Months After 6 Months
1993 14.9% 69.9% 77.6%
1997 2.4% -3.4% 21.5%
2002 6.1% 32.4% 35.9%
2008 4.3% -0.8% -28.5%
2013 11.2% 16.7% 16.6%
2018 5.9% -6.8% -3.0%
Average Gain 7.5% 18.0% 20.0%

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Name Price/Vol %Chg/NChg
KSE100 165,596.07
264.75M
-0.54%
-902.76
ALLSHR 100,017.71
623.24M
-0.46%
-463.69
KSE30 49,464.92
86.97M
-0.60%
-299.08
KMI30 238,952.40
97.00M
-0.58%
-1388.16
KMIALLSHR 65,314.16
323.73M
-0.44%
-285.47
BKTi 44,788.98
46.84M
-0.77%
-347.65
OGTi 35,107.09
7.04M
-0.41%
-145.22
Symbol Bid/Ask High/Low
Name Last High/Low Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES 79,165.00 81,895.00
78,675.00
-2455.00
-3.01%
BRENT CRUDE 109.47 109.75
106.26
3.75
3.55%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY 110.00 0.00
0.00
-2.95
-2.61%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY 109.00 109.00
108.75
1.25
1.16%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN 1,191.50 1,191.50
1,191.50
0.00
0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI 101.16 101.57
97.23
4.24
4.37%
SUGAR #11 WORLD 14.78 15.07
14.67
-0.21
-1.40%

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