PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	175,285.78 248.39M	1.02% 1766.97
ALLSHR	106,536.82 578.97M	1.02% 1073.42
KSE30	52,320.98 90.24M	1.18% 611.36
KMI30	246,775.63 72.73M	0.99% 2407.71
KMIALLSHR	68,372.65 345.21M	0.84% 569.39
BKTi	49,718.24 37.75M	1.43% 700.72
OGTi	35,126.27 7.30M	0.44% 154.29

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	65,160.00	65,740.00 64,585.00	445.00 0.69%
BRENT CRUDE	84.47	86.55 83.32	-0.26 -0.31%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	105.75	0.00 0.00	-1.25 -1.17%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	120.00	120.00 120.00	0.65 0.54%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,135.00	1,135.00 1,135.00	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	79.03	80.93 78.19	-0.31 -0.39%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	14.86	14.99 14.71	-0.02 -0.13%