PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	177,373.76 236.42M	-0.95% -1710.04
ALLSHR	106,122.88 1,067.33M	-0.79% -846.42
KSE30	51,735.03 151.51M	-0.95% -495.26
KMI30	253,872.99 123.80M	-0.86% -2200.84
KMIALLSHR	68,578.42 494.23M	-0.64% -445.16
BKTi	48,841.40 32.08M	-1.14% -564.09
OGTi	35,095.69 8.93M	-0.04% -15.18

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	72,030.00	74,300.00 71,230.00	-2695.00 -3.61%
BRENT CRUDE	94.61	94.84 91.19	1.85 1.99%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	127.15	127.15 127.15	0.90 0.71%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	136.65	136.65 136.00	0.50 0.37%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,182.50	1,182.50 1,182.50	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	87.77	87.83 85.13	1.24 1.43%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	18.22	18.56 17.96	-0.26 -1.41%