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PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

PSX Closing Bell: Taking a Pause
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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date After 1 Month After 3 Months After 6 Months
1993 14.9% 69.9% 77.6%
1997 2.4% -3.4% 21.5%
2002 6.1% 32.4% 35.9%
2008 4.3% -0.8% -28.5%
2013 11.2% 16.7% 16.6%
2018 5.9% -6.8% -3.0%
Average Gain 7.5% 18.0% 20.0%

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Posted on: 2024-02-04T22:44:51+05:00