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Mettis Global News

CPI Preview: Inflation to fall to around 17% YoY in April

PKR continues its ascent, appreciates by around 6 paisa against USD

Pakistani Rupee in continuous descent
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January 23, 2024 (MLN): The Pakistani rupee (PKR) appreciated by 5.82 paisa against the US dollar in Tuesday's interbank session as the currency settled the trade at PKR 279.79 per USD, compared to the previous session's closing of PKR 279.85 per USD.

The currency saw an intraday high (bid) of 280 and a low (ask) of 279.75.

In the open market, exchange companies quoted the dollar at 278.98 for buying and 281.09 for selling.

In a noteworthy development, the country received the second installment of SDR 528 million, equivalent to $705.6m from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) last week.

The first review report under the Standby Arrangement published by the fund addresses the importance of allowing the exchange rate to be determined by the market, emphasizing the need for a gradual deepening of the foreign exchange (FX) market.

The Staff emphasized that deepening FX market liquidity should result in a rebound in trading volumes to levels seen some months ago and could only occur if banks are encouraged to manage FX flows via the interbank market, offering exchange rates to ensure FX flows into the system when needed.

To ensure that the exchange rate can act as a shock absorber, the IMF highlighted that the government must refrain from formal or informal restrictions.

The IMF Staff and the authorities agreed that SBP's interventions in the FX market should remain guided by the objective of building FX buffers, with sales not to be used to prevent trend depreciation of the rupee driven by fundamentals.

Meanwhile, the government agreed to redouble efforts to eliminate the existing exchange restrictions and multiple currency practices in early 2024.

The SBP's planned reforms of the EC sector could improve oversight, governance, and transparency, but further efforts to monitor the pricing in the informal exchange rate markets would helpfully identify periods of market dysfunction.

The government reaffirmed its commitment to the FX market by finalizing preparations for transitioning to a new trading platform for spot transactions connecting all banks. This system is scheduled to go live by end-January 2024.

Moreover, the government pledged to undertake a feasibility study to conduct FX purchases and sales via auctions, including the publication of auction results, by the end of March 2024.

In pursuit of its mandate to implement an exchange rate policy, SBP is developing a framework to monitor pricing and broader developments in informal markets and publish a report with findings by end-March 2024.

As limited reserve buffers continue to be the main constraint for durably entrenching external stability, SBP’s interventions in the FX market will remain guided by the objective of building FX buffers, with FX sales limited to episodes of disorderly market conditions and not used to prevent a trend depreciation of the rupee driven by fundamentals.

In comparison to major currencies, PKR lost 18.84 paisa against the Euro, closing at 305.03 compared to the previous value of 304.84.

The British Pound became expensive by 1.02 rupees closing at 356.34 compared to 355.33 from a day ago.

The Swiss franc saw gains of 54.58 paisa, closing at 322.62 compared to 322.08 from the previous session.

Against the Japanese Yen, PKR lost 0.98 paisa, closing at 1.8993 versus 1.8895 a day ago.

The Chinese Yuan gained 13.91 paisa, closing at 39.03 against 38.89 from the previous session.

The Saudi Riyal closed at 74.6 with a loss of 1.35 paisa from its value of 74.62 a day ago.

The U.A.E Dirham decreased in value by 1.48 paisa from 76.18 a day ago to 76.19.

During the current financial year, PKR has appreciated against the Dollar by 6.2 rupees or 2.22%. While the current calendar year has seen PKR appreciate by 2.07 rupees or 0.74%.

In the Money Market, the benchmark 6 Month Karachi Interbank Bid and Offer rates inched up by 2 bps to 20.6% and 20.85%.

Performance Summary

Currency Jan 23, 2024 Jan 22, 2024 Change 1 Month FYTD CYTD 1 Day 7 Day 1 Month MTD FYTD CYTD
USD 279.7928 279.851 0.0582 2.7358 6.1977 2.0679 0.02% 0.16% 0.98% 0.74% 2.22% 0.74%
EUR 305.0301 304.8417 -0.1884 5.7796 7.9007 6.4682 -0.06% 0.29% 1.89% 2.12% 2.59% 2.12%
GBP 356.3441 355.3268 -1.0173 2.3119 7.7932 2.2531 -0.29% -0.36% 0.65% 0.63% 2.19% 0.63%
CHF 322.6208 322.075 -0.5458 7.2241 -2.864 12.449 -0.17% 1.12% 2.24% 3.86% -0.89% 3.86%
JPY 1.8993 1.8895 -0.0098 0.0871 0.093 0.0902 -0.52% 0.99% 4.59% 4.75% 4.9% 4.75%
SAR 74.6015 74.615 0.0135 0.7124 1.6525 0.5613 0.02% 0.17% 0.95% 0.75% 2.22% 0.75%
AED 76.1776 76.1924 0.0148 0.7554 1.6842 0.5651 0.02% 0.17% 0.99% 0.74% 2.21% 0.74%
CNY 39.0254 38.8863 -0.1391 0.5242 0.6443 0.606 -0.36% -0.03% 1.34% 1.55% 1.65% 1.55%

52 Week Performance

Currency High Low Trading Band % Since High % Since Low High Date Low Date Days Since High Days Since Low
USD 230.403 307.1 76.6965 -17.65% 9.76% 24-Jan-23 05-Sep-23 364 140
EUR 251.013 332.701 81.6878 -17.71% 9.07% 24-Jan-23 31-Aug-23 364 145
GBP 284.197 387.972 103.7756 -20.25% 8.88% 25-Jan-23 31-Aug-23 363 145
CHF 249.805 347.163 97.3581 -22.57% 7.61% 25-Jan-23 31-Aug-23 363 145
JPY 1.7702 2.2178 0.4476 -6.8% 16.77% 25-Jan-23 11-May-23 363 257
SAR 61.3656 81.8703 20.5047 -17.74% 9.74% 24-Jan-23 05-Sep-23 364 140
AED 62.7289 83.6089 20.88 -17.65% 9.76% 24-Jan-23 05-Sep-23 364 140
CNY 33.9602 43.0908 9.1306 -12.98% 10.42% 24-Jan-23 11-May-23 364 257

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Posted on: 2024-01-23T15:21:46+05:00