Palm rises but set for 9% weekly loss on higher supply outlook

August 05, 2022: Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Friday but were set for a 9% weekly loss on expectations of higher July end-stocks and rising exports from top producer Indonesia.

The benchmark palm oil contract FCPOc3 for October delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange gained 66 ringgit, or 1.73%, to 3,887 ringgit ($872.70) a tonne in early trade.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Malaysia's palm oil inventories by end-July likely jumped to an eight-month high due to improving production and soaring imports, a Reuters survey showed on Thursday.

* The Malaysian Palm Oil Board is scheduled to release its data next week.

* Traders are expecting higher overseas shipments from Indonesia after the country lowered its crude palm oil export duty reference price for Aug. 1-15, making its products more competitive than Malaysian palm oil.

* Dalian's most-active soyoil contract DBYcv1 fell 0.9%, while its palm oil contract DCPcv1 gained 2.2%. Soyoil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade BOcv1 were up 1.9%.

* Palm oil is affected by price movements in related oils as they compete for a share in the global vegetable oils market.

* Palm oil may retest a support at 3,717 ringgit per tonne, a break below which could open the way towards 3,489-3,598 ringgit range, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said.

Reuters