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Oil prices rebound 2% on Red Sea conflict fallout

Brent Crude nears $90 amid falling US stockpiles
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January 02, 2024 (MLN): Global oil prices snapped their three-day losing streak on Tuesday, surging around 2% amid supply disruptions following a conflict in the Red Sea and expectations of a strong economic stimulus in China, the top crude importer.

Brent crude is currently trading at $78.33 per barrel, up by 1.95% on the day.

While West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) is trading at $72.87 per barrel, up by 2.1% compared to its previous close.

It is crucial to mention that oil prices concluded their two-year straight winning streak, with both benchmarks, Brent and WTI, dropping by 10.45% and 11.32%, respectively, in the calendar year 2023.

U.S. helicopters repelled an attack on Sunday by Iran-backed Houthi militants on a Maersk container vessel in the Red Sea, sinking three Houthi ships and killing 10 militants, escalating risks of the Israel-Gaza war becoming a wider regional conflict, as Reuters reported.

"The oil price may be affected by the escalation of the situation in the Red Sea over the weekend and the peak demand season during China's Spring Festival," Leon Li, a Shanghai-based CMC Markets analyst said, referring to the Lunar New Year holiday set for early February.

Li added that the forecast Chinese holiday demand was also raising expectations for a price rebound in January.

A wider conflict could close crucial waterways for the transportation of oil supplies such as the Red Sea and the Straits of Hormuz in the Gulf. After the naval battle, an Iranian warship sailed into the Red Sea, Iranian media reported on Monday.

At least four tankers transporting diesel and jet fuel from the Middle East and India to Europe are sailing around Africa to avoid the Red Sea, ship tracking data show.

In China, investors' expectations for fresh stimulus measures rose after manufacturing activity in December shrank for a third month, government data showed on Sunday.

A stimulus could provide a fillip to economic growth, potentially boosting oil demand in the world's second-largest oil-consuming nation, and also lend support to prices.

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Posted on: 2024-01-02T10:45:16+05:00