November 01, 2023 (MLN): Global oil prices maintained their downward trend on Wednesday as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. Fed meeting and assessed the ongoing developments in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Brent crude is currently trading at $85.09 per barrel, down by 0.17% on the day.
While West Texas Intermediate crude is trading at $80.85 per barrel, down by 0.26% on the day.
It is important to highlight that this signifies the third consecutive daily drop in oil prices.
"Crude prices are steadying ahead of a key issuance update by the Treasury and FOMC rate decision," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, referring to the Federal Open Market Committee that sets the direction of U.S. monetary policy, as Reuters reported.
"Geopolitical risks remain and that seems to be offsetting some of the record production levels that are coming from the U.S," he added.
Crude oil inventories in the U.S. rose by about 1.3 million barrels last week, while fuel stockpiles fell by about 360,000 barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Distillate inventories fell by about 2.5m barrels.
Interest rate hikes aimed at taming inflation can slow economic growth and reduce oil demand, while rate cuts to spur spending could increase oil consumption.
The Fed, which will end its meeting on Wednesday, is expected to hold rates steady, according to a poll by CME's Fedwatch tool.
In Europe, October inflation in the Euro zone was at its lowest level in two years, falling to 2.9% from 4.3% in September, a Eurostat flash reading showed, leading to expectations the European Central Bank is unlikely to hike interest rates soon.
The Bank of England will meet on Thursday.
In China, factory activity unexpectedly contracted in October, a private survey showed on Wednesday, adding to downbeat official figures a day earlier and raising questions over its fragile economic recovery at the start of the fourth quarter. China is the world's largest oil importer.
Taking a longer view, Goldman Sachs analysts forecast Brent prices would reach $100 per barrel by next June as stocks descend gently.
While the market is now tightening at a moderate pace, it "may become very tight in a more distant future," although productivity and oil demand trends will also be critical, the analysts added in a note.
In the Middle East, Israeli airstrikes hit a densely populated refugee camp in the Gaza Strip on Tuesday, killing at least 50 Palestinians and a Hamas commander.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who will visit Israel on Friday, said the U.S. and other countries are looking at "a variety of possible permutations" for the future of the Gaza Strip if Hamas militants are removed from control.
Copyright Mettis Link News
Posted on: 2023-11-01T11:06:39+05:00
