December 14, 2023 (MLN): Asian markets rallied Thursday and the dollar extended losses after the Federal Reserve indicated it will begin cutting interest rates next year, as APP reported.
The surge across the region tracked a record-breaking day on Wall Street, where traders cheered a much-sought-after dovish pivot from the central bank as inflation comes down, it added.
After more than a year of hiking, decision-makers at their last meeting of the year acknowledged that they were winning their battle against prices and discussed when to change tack to a looser monetary policy.
The Fed held rates at a 22-year high, as expected, and said the decision lets policymakers determine "the extent of any additional policy firming that may be appropriate".
The inclusion of "any", which was absent in November's decision, was added as "an acknowledgement that we believe that we are likely at or near the peak rate for this cycle", Fed chief Jerome Powell told reporters.
Officials also released their "dot plot" of future rates, which saw 75 basis points of cuts in 2024, more than indicated in September.
Traders are betting on 140 basis points of cuts over the next year, Bloomberg News said.
Powell said that while the forecasts were not set in stone, policymakers had spoken about when to begin slackening the reins.
"That begins to come into view and is clearly a topic of discussion out in the world and also a discussion for us at our meeting today," he said.
Kellie Wood, of Schroders, said that the Fed has delivered an early Christmas present to markets.
"The next move is a cut and markets are now anticipating a faster and sharper easing cycle," he added.
The news sparked a bullish surge on Wall Street, with the Dow ending at a record and above 37,000 for the first time, while the S&P 500 closed at a near two-year high.
Treasuries seen as a guide to future rates — strengthened, with 10-year yields at a four-month low below 4%.
And the upbeat mood carried through to Asia, where Hong Kong, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta all climbed more than 1%. Shanghai also rose.
Gold held above $2,000 following a bounce in reaction to Wednesday's news.
However, Tokyo dropped partly on a stronger yen, which jumped about 1.8% against the dollar.
Japanese traders were also keeping tabs on a political crisis engulfing Prime Minister Fumio Kishida after three ministers resigned over a major corruption scandal in the ruling party.
The greenback retreated across the board, with the euro and pound enjoying fresh strength. US futures were again in positive territory.
While investors are in a buying mood, Paul McSheaffrey at KPMG China warned "I don't think this should be taken as a sign that rates will fall in the short term.
"The Fed will want to ensure they have got inflation under control before reducing rates."
Copyright Mettis Link News
Posted on: 2023-12-14T09:30:59+05:00
