GDP growth to exceed 5% mark in FY22: Shaukat Tarin

Mar 20, 2022: Owing to robust growth of the country's large scale manufacturing, agriculture and exports, Minister for Finance and Revenue Shaukat Tarin on Sunday expressed the hope that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth would exceed five percent mark against the set target of 4.8 percent for the fiscal year 2021-22.

"The welcome news is that the LSM has grown by 8.2% in January against same month of last year and 4.2% against December 2021," he said while addressing a press conference here.

He said the LSM growth was slowed down in August, September 2021 however, the good news was that it had come again on high growth level.

"Our economic growth momentum has picked up again as our all agriculture crops are growing at 6 to 12 percent, and exports and services sectors are also growing at high pace", he said.

Tarin said no doubt there were some headwinds like inflation and current account deficit but the growth was sustainable and robust.

He said to curtail inflation and pass on minimum impact of international inflation pressure to the masses, the government had taken several measures including significant relief in prices of petroleum products and electricity.

The minister highlighted that due to such measures, the Sensitive Price Index (SPI) based weekly inflation had reduced by 1.15 percent in a single week.

With respect to the a recent world happiness index issued by a United Nation's body, the minister said Pakistan's happiness index had improved by seven points in one year however that of India had declined by three points.

He said the elements on which the index was based included perception of corruption, social support, freedom to make choices, Gross Domestic Product per capita, life expectancy, and generosity.

In Aisa, he said Pakistan was among the top 15 happiest countries.

The finance minister added that the current account posted high deficit for few months but now due to the government's measures to curtail imports and increase exports, the deficit shrank significantly from over US $ two billion in January to mere US $ 545 million in February.

Our reserves with the central bank were almost US $ 16.6 billion, so there had not been any hustle and bustle in the reserves as in the past when the reserves started depleting fast after high current account deficit.

Replying to a question with respect to the ongoing talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to release the next tranche of the programme, the minister said the IMF had expressed reservations over the Pakistan government's recent relief in petroleum products and electricity. However, he said, "We have satisfied them by showing how we will manage the fiscal space".

He said the IMF had asked us to show the agreements and proofs that how the subsidized money would be managed.

"This is not a big issue, as we have made full homework and my final talk with the IMF would be held on Tuesday," he said adding that the IMF should have no reason to stop the next tranche.

Responding to another question regarding the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz leader Miftah Ismail's press conference yesterday, the minister said, the government was not issuing the Euro bond at this time due to high interest rate. "As soon as the international markets settles down and the rates become normal, we will issue the bonds."

He said Miftah Ismail was wrong in comparing the present current account situation with that in 2018, saying that in 2018, Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves were at the lowest level and they had reserves enough to pay for imports of only one month.

"He thinks that people's memory is very short," the minister said adding that dreaming big would good for his own health only and nothing else.

To another question, the minister said wheat production would grow by 5 to 6 percent this year and the government might not had to import it during next year. However, he said to increase the strategic reserves, the government might import 500,000 tons of wheat.

APP