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Asian stocks rise on upbeat data

August 04, 2022: Asian stocks rose on Thursday, taking cues from a strong rally on Wall Street after robust economic data and upbeat corporate guidance boosted investor appetite.

The dollar hovered near its highest this week after Federal Reserve officials continued to stress that policy tightening is far from over. However, Treasury yields remained down from two-week highs as investors stayed sidelined ahead of employment data this week that will guide the path of interest rates.

Crude oil prices stabilized after sliding to an almost six-month low overnight as U.S. data showed an unexpected surge in stockpiles.

Japan's Nikkei rose 0.58%, while Chinese blue chips added 0.55% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 1.24%, with an index of its tech stocks surging 2.29%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares gained 0.65%.

U.S. S&P 500 futures were about flat after the underlying index jumped 1.56% overnight and the tech-heavy Nasdaq surged 2.73% to a three-month peak.

Strong financial results from PayPal lifted the mood, while data showed new orders for U.S.-manufactured goods increased solidly.

Meanwhile, more Fed officials joined the chorus saying more tightening is necessary to rein in inflation.

However, one – San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly – said in an interview with Reuters that a half-point hike may be what's needed at the next meeting in September, rather than another 75 basis-point rises.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week the central bank may consider another “unusually large” rate hike at its Sept. 20-21 gathering.

“The view that we have this pivot away from tightening (by the Fed) has been very heavily hammered over the last 48 hours by pretty much everyone and their dog, saying we are still going to be tightening rates pretty aggressively,” said Rob Carnell, Asia-Pacific head of research at ING in Singapore.

“That message hasn't properly percolated through to the equity market, which is looking at what has been a reasonably strong set of earnings numbers and some fairly decent economic data and going this is brilliant, instead of doing what they should be doing and saying this is quite concerning.”

Traders now price 58.5% odds of a 50 basis point increase versus 41.5% probability for the bigger bump, which would see the most aggressive tightening path in more than a generation.

Benchmark long-term U.S. Treasury yields held at around 2.71% in Tokyo trading on Thursday. They rose overnight to the highest since July 22 at 2.851% but then got knocked back to end lower following Daly's comments.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major counterparts, eased 0.11% to 106.36 on Thursday after rising as high as 106.82 in the previous session for the first time in a week.

Against Japan's currency, which is extremely sensitive to U.S. yields, the buck retreated 0.24% to 133.51 yen, after reaching 134.55 overnight.

The majority of analysts in a Reuters poll say the dollar has yet to peak.

Crude oil rose in early Asian trade, bouncing off the previous day's multi-month lows following data that signaled weak U.S. fuel demand.

Brent crude futures rose 53 cents to $97.31 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 55 cents to $91.21. Both benchmarks fell to their weakest closing levels since February on Wednesday, at $96.50 and $90.66, respectively.

Reuters

Posted on: 2022-08-04T09:06:30+05:00

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