Oil gains, heading for weekly rise amid hopes for fuel demand recovery

August 14, 2020: Oil prices were higher on Friday and on track for the second week of gains amid growing confidence that demand for fuel is starting to pick up despite the coronavirus pandemic that has slammed economies worldwide.

Brent crude was up 4 cents, or 0.1%, at $45.00 by 0703 GMT, heading for a gain of about 1.4% this week.

West Texas Intermediate had gained 2 cents, or 0.1%, to $42.26. The U.S. benchmark is heading for a gain of around 2.5% this week.

“Although both contracts continue to consolidate at the upper end of their two-month trading ranges, they lack the momentum to stage meaningful rallies at this stage,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.

Prices have been bolstered this week by U.S. government data showing crude oil, gasoline, and distillate inventories all fell last week as refiners ramped up production and demand for oil products improved.

Still, the International Energy Agency has reduced its oil demand forecast for this year, and said lower air travel due to the COVID-19 pandemic would cut global oil consumption this year by 8.1 million barrels per day (bpd).

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said earlier this week that world oil demand is likely to drop by 9.06 million bpd this year, a bigger decline than the 8.95 million bpd decline expected a month ago.

OPEC and allies including Russia, collectively called OPEC+, cut output since May by around 10% of typical global demand to tackle the fallout from the global health crisis.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said he does not expect quick decisions on output cuts when an OPEC+ group monitoring committee meets next week, Russian news agencies reported on Thursday.

Reuters