Market sentiments swirl as investors grasp for stability

August 31, 2023 (MLN): Markets were mixed on Thursday as investors struggled to maintain momentum from Wall Street's rally, even after fresh data reinforced optimism that the Federal Reserve will be able to hold off any more interest rate hikes this year, as APP reported.

New York traders cheered news that fewer jobs were created in the US private sector and second-quarter growth was less than initially thought, suggesting the economy was softening after more than a year of monetary tightening.

The readings came a day after figures on job openings and consumer confidence that were seen as giving the Fed room to step back from pushing borrowing costs higher.

Investors now put the chances of another lift this year at less than 50%. The prospect of a less hawkish approach from the US central bank has provided a much-needed boost to equities this week, having endured a painful August.

Focus is now on Thursday's release of the US central bank's preferred gauge of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which will be followed by readings on factory activity and non-farm payrolls for August.

"Investors are reacting with a 'bad news is good news' approach, betting that a slowing economy will lead to a less aggressive Federal Reserve," Mark Hackett at Nationwide Funds Group said. However, there is now a worry that the data will continue to come in below forecasts and the economy could slip into recession.

"This has calmed investors, but adds an element of risk if the pendulum continues to swing, as an earnings recovery is critical for a continued strong market," Hackett added.

In early trade, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, and Jakarta rose, but Shanghai, Seoul, Wellington, Taipei, and Manila fell.

China on Thursday revealed that factory activity shrank again this month while services weakened, which will likely pile further pressure on authorities to press ahead with measures to kickstart the sputtering economy.

Officials have announced a series of pledges to help various sectors—particularly the property industry—and there is an expectation that more is on the way.

In the latest measure, local reports Thursday said the central bank is drawing up policies that will make it easier for private firms, including developers, to access funding. However, analysts say the only thing that will appease investors is a wide-ranging "bazooka" of big spending.

"There remains an undercurrent of optimism regarding additional policy measures anticipated for China," said SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes. "Nevertheless, tenacious economic apprehensions concerning China persist. The current perspective on China's growth trajectory has become increasingly fixated on the pivotal policy choices that Chinese authorities must navigate."

The need to provide support to the embattled real estate sector was highlighted Wednesday when industry giant Country Garden reported losses of about $6.7 billion for the first half of the year and warned of possible default.

The company's cash flow problems have ignited fears that it could collapse and spread turbulence through China's economy and financial system. It is due to hold a vote later Thursday by bondholders on extending repayment terms.

Copyright Mettis Link News