Weekly SPI increases by 0.53%

November 14, 2025 (MLN): Pakistan's short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), increased by 0.53% for the week ended November 13, 2025, according to the latest data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

The notable increase in weekly inflation was primarily driven by a sharp rise in chicken prices, which surged 20.33%, followed by tomatoes (12.03%), bananas (2.32%), LPG (1.97%), potatoes (1.08%), cooking oil 5-litre (0.38%), shirting (0.36%), pulse masoor (0.33%), firewood and beef (0.26% each), and mutton (0.07%).

Conversely, the report highlighted decreases in several essential items including onions, which fell 6.65%, along with pulse gram (-2.61%), salt powder (-1.80%), gur (-1.78%), sugar (-1.07%), wheat flour (-0.69%), pulse mash (-0.66%), and pulse moong (-0.27%).

During the week, out of 51 essential items monitored, 15 (29.41%) items recorded price increases, 12 (23.53%) items saw a decrease, while 24 (47.06%) remained unchanged.

On an annual basis, the SPI showed a year-on-year (YoY) increase of 4.15% compared to the same week last year. The PBS attributed the rise primarily to higher prices of ladies' sandals (55.62%), sugar (40.25%), gas charges for Q1 (29.85%), wheat flour (18.70%), gur (16.47%), beef (14.29%), firewood (12.23%), bananas (11.71%), vegetable ghee 2.5kg (10.93%), diesel (9.29%), cooking oil 5-litre (8.43%), and mutton (8.16%).

However, prices of garlic (-36.29%), pulse gram (-29.89%), electricity charges for Q1 (-26.26%), tomatoes (-23.01%), potatoes (-22.46%), tea Lipton (-17.79%), pulse mash (-15.35%), LPG (-11.00%), pulse masoor (-5.40%), and rice IRRI-6/9 (-3.02%) registered notable year-on-year declines.

Across income groups, the SPI showed a varied trend, with lower-income households experiencing relatively modest weekly increases compared to higher-income groups.

The average price of Sona urea stood at Rs4,368 per 50 kg bag, higher from last week’s price, and a 4.89% decrease from last year.

Meanwhile, the average Cement price rise to Rs1,389 per 50 kg bag, which is 0.03% higher than the previous week, and 3.33% lower than prices last year.

The SPI, which tracks price movements of 51 essential commodities from 50 markets across 17 cities, serves as a key barometer of short-term inflation trends in Pakistan.

The indicator is computed on a weekly basis to assess price movements of essential items at shorter intervals, enabling policymakers to review the country's price situation in near real-time.

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