Weekly SPI decreases by 0.59%

November 07, 2025 (MLN): Pakistan's short-term inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), declined by 0.59% for the week ended November 6, 2025, according to the latest data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS).

The notable decrease in weekly inflation was primarily driven by a sharp drop in tomato prices, which plummeted 37.93%, followed by onions (-4.88%), garlic (-3.23%), pulse gram (-1.58%), chicken (-0.68%), sugar (-0.64%), gur (-0.60%), pulse masoor (-0.55%), and LPG (-0.15%).

Conversely, the report highlighted increases in several essential items including eggs, which rose 2.40%, along with bananas (2.32%), firewood (1.61%), diesel (1.12%), beef (0.93%), tea prepared (0.92%), petrol (0.91%), bread (0.55%), wheat flour (0.34%), powdered milk (0.31%), and cooking oil (0.21%).

Out of the 51 essential items monitored, 18 (35.29%) items recorded price increases, 12 (23.53%) items saw a decrease, while 21 (41.18%) remained unchanged.

On an annual basis, the SPI showed a year-on-year (YoY) increase of 4.18% compared to the same week last year. The PBS attributed the rise primarily to higher prices of ladies' sandals (55.62%), sugar (43.67%), gas charges for Q1 (29.85%), wheat flour (19.50%), gur (18.88%), firewood (14.25%), beef (14.09%), vegetable ghee 2.5kg (11.53%), onions (11.22%), vegetable ghee 1kg (9.79%), and diesel (9.29%).

However, prices of garlic (-33.54%), pulse gram (-29.82%), electricity charges for Q1 (-26.26%), potatoes (-22.32%), tomatoes (-19.69%), tea Lipton (-17.79%), pulse mash (-15.52%), chicken (-15.16%), LPG (-9.14%), and pulse masoor (-4.95%) registered notable year-on-year declines.

Across income groups, the SPI showed a mixed trend, with the lowest expenditure quintile experiencing a 1.04% weekly decrease and a 4.73% annual rise, while the highest income group saw a modest 0.44% weekly decline and a 3.50% yearly increase.

The average price of Sona urea stood at Rs4,370 per 50 kg bag, same from last week’s price, and a 4.65% decrease from last year.

Meanwhile, the average Cement price fell to Rs1,388 per 50 kg bag, which is 0.13% lower than the previous week, and 3.73% lower than prices last year.

The SPI, which tracks price movements of 51 essential commodities from 50 markets across 17 cities, serves as a key barometer of short-term inflation trends in Pakistan.

The indicator is computed on a weekly basis to assess price movements of essential items at shorter intervals, enabling policymakers to review the country's price situation in near real-time.

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