Pakistan’s macro outlook strengthens amid surplus, inflow growth

March 17, 2026 (MLN): Pakistan’s macroeconomic outlook is showing clear signs of strengthening, supported by improved external balances, rising inflows, easing global oil pressures, and better energy supply visibility factors collectively building buffers and enhancing economic resilience despite ongoing regional and external challenges.

According to insights shared by Khurram Schehzad on X (formerly Twitter), the country posted a current account surplus of $427 million in February 2026 the highest since March 2025 while foreign direct investment rose 24% month-on-month. 

Remittances increased 5% MoM and 11% YoY in 8MFY26, and IT exports stood at $365 million in February, up 19% YoY, taking the cumulative total to շուրջ $3 billion in 8MFY26, up 20% YoY. 

Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves reached a four-year high with improved import cover, and large-scale manufacturing recorded growth of around 12% MoM and 11% YoY in January, with cumulative expansion of 6% in 7MFY26. 

He further noted that Brent crude has softened to $102 and WTI to $95 per barrel, with futures in backwardation indicating a potential decline toward the $60 range. 

Additionally, Pakistan has secured energy supplies for March and most of April, improving fuel stock availability and supporting smooth economic operations.

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