Asia markets mixed as Fed cut hopes cool

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MG News | August 15, 2025 at 09:27 AM GMT+05:00

August 15, 2025 (MLN): Asia-Pacific markets posted a mixed performance on Friday as investors digested Japan’s GDP figures alongside a batch of Chinese economic data, while U.S. inflation readings tempered expectations of aggressive rate cuts.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.3% after U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed the Producer Price Index (PPI) rising 0.9% month-on-month in July, far exceeding economists’ forecasts.

“What it did was to get rid of all the chat about a 50 basis point cut,” said Mike Houlahan, director at Electus Financial Ltd in Auckland.

According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, markets now assign a 92.1% probability to a 25 basis point cut at the Federal Reserve’s September meeting, down from a 100% likelihood the day before.

Expectations for a larger 50 basis point cut plunged to 0% from 5.7%.

U.S. stock futures were steady in early Asian trade after Wall Street ended Thursday slightly higher in a volatile session. Nasdaq futures slipped 0.1%, extending losses for a third straight day.

The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury fell 1 basis point to 4.2829%, while the two-year yield eased to 3.7304% from 3.739%.

The dollar index eased 0.1% to 98.143 after initial gains on the PPI release, with the greenback falling 0.3% to 147.64 yen.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rebounded 0.4%, recovering from its largest one-day drop since April 11 on Thursday, as GDP data revealed a 1.0% annualised expansion in the April–June quarter, surpassing expectations.

Australian stocks rose 0.2%, while Hong Kong’s market lost 0.9% after declines in U.S.-listed ETFs tracking Chinese firms.

The CSI 300 index erased earlier gains and was flat following weaker-than-expected July figures for Chinese retail sales and industrial output.

Markets in India and South Korea were shut for public holidays.

In cryptocurrency trading, bitcoin edged up 0.7% after retreating sharply from a record $124,480.82 reached on Thursday, failing to break the $125,000 resistance.

Ether gained 1.7%. “Bitcoin’s failure to conquer the $125,000 resistance signals another consolidation phase,” noted Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG in Sydney.

Commodity markets saw Brent crude steady at $66.94 per barrel ahead of a planned meeting in Alaska between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin.

Spot gold inched up 0.1% to $3,339 per ounce as investors weighed the trajectory of inflation-adjusted interest rates, which tend to move inversely to bullion prices.

In early European trade, pan-regional futures rose 0.4%, Germany’s DAX futures added 0.3% to 24,489, and FTSE futures gained 0.5%.

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KSE100 179,571.27
436.67M
1.06%
1878.35
ALLSHR 108,600.94
844.23M
1.00%
1073.54
KSE30 53,548.42
162.02M
0.99%
525.53
KMI30 256,725.70
154.74M
0.76%
1936.43
KMIALLSHR 70,620.69
563.61M
0.98%
683.55
BKTi 48,625.03
36.31M
1.37%
658.39
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8.29M
0.94%
345.85
Symbol Bid/Ask High/Low
Name Last High/Low Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES 60,230.00 60,895.00
59,790.00
235.00
0.39%
BRENT CRUDE 73.08 75.13
71.38
-2.18
-2.90%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY 103.50 0.00
0.00
0.25
0.24%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY 113.35 114.25
113.00
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-0.04%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN 1,135.00 1,135.00
1,135.00
0.00
0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI 70.24 71.86
68.56
-1.68
-2.34%
SUGAR #11 WORLD 14.55 14.68
14.02
0.45
3.19%

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