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Asian equities slip as second wave fears come into focus

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May 13, 2020: Asian markets fell again Wednesday after Donald Trump's top virus adviser warned that easing lockdown measures too early could spark another dangerous wave of infections and batter the economic recovery.

                  Brewing tensions between the US and China added another layer of concern for traders after lawmakers in Washington proposed giving the president powers to impose fresh sanctions if Beijing does not give a “full accounting” for the coronavirus outbreak.

                  The second day of selling followed losses on Wall Street and eats into recent gains driven by slowing infection and death rates, and the lifting of economy-strangling measures that kept billions at home.

                  The recent optimism that has flowed through markets, helped by trillions of dollars in worldwide stimulus and central bank backstopping, has been given a jolt by data showing fresh outbreaks in South Korea, China and Germany.

                  And US infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci added to the unease Tuesday when he said in congressional testimony that reopening businesses and communities too early risked damaging recent progress in containing the disease.

                  He told a Senate panel that federal authorities had developed guidelines on how to safely reopen activities, with a sustained 14-day decrease in cases as a vital first step.

                  “If a community or a state or region doesn't go by those guidelines and reopens… the consequences could be really serious,” said Fauci.

                  “There is a real risk that you will trigger an outbreak that you may not be able to control,” he added, and warned it “could even set you back on the road to trying to get economic recovery”.                     

                  – A test for optimism –                               

                  However, Federal Reserve officials also warned about the long-term financial impact of an extended shutdown.

                  St Louis Fed President James Bullard said in an extended period of strict measures “you will get business failures on a grand scale and you will be taking risks that you would go into depression”.

                  His Minneapolis counterpart Neel Kashkari said the economy was likely only to see a “gradual, muted recovery”.

                  Tokyo ended the morning down 0.8 percent, while Hong Kong dropped 0.2 percent and Shanghai slipped 0.3 percent.

                  Sydney shed 0.9 percent, while there were also losses in Seoul, Singapore, Manila, Jakarta, and Wellington.

                  “Markets' positive take on the recovery, after unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, will be put to the test,” Alexander Kraemer, head of cross-asset strategy at Commerzbank AG, wrote in a note.

                  “Market participants await confirmation that the economy will indeed start to return to normalcy” in the second half of the year.

                  Analysts pointed to friction between the world's top two economic superpowers that has fanned fears of a renewed trade war.

                  While negotiators last week confirmed they would push on with implementing a trade deal signed in January, Trump this week called on his officials to block investments in Chinese stocks by a government retirement fund.

                  The Senate plan to give the president fresh sanction power added to the jitters.

                  The legislation will give Trump 60 days to certify to Congress that China has provided a full account of the COVID-19 outbreak to a probe that could be led by the United States and its allies, or a United Nations body like the World Health Organization.


                  – Key figures around 0230 GMT –          


                  Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.8 percent at 20,210.45 (break)

                  Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.2 percent at 24,208.67

                  Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.3 percent at 2,883.80

                  West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.4 percent at $25.43 per barrel

                  Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 2.0 percent at $29.39 per barrel

                  Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0852 from $1.0848 at 2115 GMT

                  Dollar/yen: UP at 107.22 yen from 107.14 yen

                  Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2271 from $1.2257

                  Euro/pound: DOWN at 88.44 pence from 88.49 pence

                  New York – Dow: DOWN 1.9 percent at 23,764.78 (close)

                  London – FTSE 100: UP 0.9 percent at 5,994.77 (close)


Posted on: 2020-05-13T10:11:00+05:00