PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

0:00

February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

Copyright Mettis Link News

Related News

Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	184,409.67 393.48M	-0.61% -1133.34
ALLSHR	110,382.58 1,026.61M	-0.45% -501.36
KSE30	56,593.88 158.22M	-0.71% -404.12
KMI30	259,208.41 213.19M	-0.87% -2263.77
KMIALLSHR	70,710.78 493.25M	-0.60% -427.51
BKTi	53,774.72 51.55M	-0.55% -299.43
OGTi	36,045.04 14.71M	-0.59% -214.34

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	90,645.00	92,275.00 89,825.00	-460.00 -0.50%
BRENT CRUDE	63.05	63.92 61.83	1.06 1.71%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	86.75	0.00 0.00	-1.25 -1.42%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	95.30	98.65 95.30	-2.90 -2.95%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,027.50	1,027.50 1,027.50	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	58.78	59.77 57.61	1.02 1.77%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	14.89	14.99 14.78	-0.08 -0.53%