PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	151,707.52 244.73M	-0.79% -1200.45
ALLSHR	90,950.95 421.06M	-0.91% -834.89
KSE30	45,918.57 92.97M	-0.83% -386.29
KMI30	220,125.22 87.98M	-0.85% -1889.21
KMIALLSHR	59,363.52 256.09M	-1.02% -613.27
BKTi	41,297.63 25.33M	-0.60% -248.70
OGTi	31,189.41 18.57M	-2.53% -809.48

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	66,180.00	69,315.00 65,710.00	-2590.00 -3.77%
BRENT CRUDE	114.57	114.88 105.09	6.56 6.07%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	111.15	111.15 111.15	0.35 0.32%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	122.70	125.00 122.70	-0.15 -0.12%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,175.00	1,175.00 1,175.00	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	101.18	101.24 92.08	6.70 7.09%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	15.75	15.93 15.66	-0.12 -0.76%