PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	169,864.53 309.70M	0.77% 1289.83
ALLSHR	102,725.13 871.92M	0.54% 553.85
KSE30	51,670.42 144.06M	0.97% 495.07
KMI30	244,230.82 127.19M	0.88% 2126.86
KMIALLSHR	67,141.83 400.81M	0.66% 438.06
BKTi	45,511.25 34.21M	0.74% 335.27
OGTi	33,787.05 15.45M	0.86% 288.90

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	90,330.00	0.00 0.00	-110.00 -0.12%
BRENT CRUDE	61.22	61.86 60.81	-0.06 -0.10%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	91.00	0.00 0.00	1.00 1.11%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	97.30	97.30 97.30	0.90 0.93%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,016.00	1,016.00 1,016.00	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	57.53	0.00 0.00	0.09 0.16%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	15.10	15.27 14.83	0.25 1.68%