PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	159,592.91 216.91M	0.31% 496.12
ALLSHR	97,116.33 768.06M	0.46% 445.03
KSE30	48,297.58 106.33M	0.31% 148.84
KMI30	228,607.02 68.07M	0.59% 1329.76
KMIALLSHR	63,247.23 258.39M	0.62% 387.33
BKTi	44,604.42 43.32M	0.63% 277.31
OGTi	30,819.67 8.30M	0.93% 283.08

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	104,160.00	104,220.00 99,425.00	2950.00 2.91%
BRENT CRUDE	63.70	64.39 63.23	0.32 0.50%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	87.25	0.00 0.00	0.10 0.11%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	96.75	96.75 96.75	-0.20 -0.21%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,082.50	1,082.50 1,082.50	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	59.84	60.46 59.32	0.41 0.69%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	14.13	14.37 14.07	-0.06 -0.42%