PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	164,444.72 1,390.47M	-0.75% -1241.66
ALLSHR	100,263.22 3,076.68M	-0.52% -522.58
KSE30	50,467.16 136.66M	-0.90% -456.01
KMI30	239,381.13 102.98M	-0.94% -2269.59
KMIALLSHR	66,143.45 1,531.56M	-0.67% -449.11
BKTi	46,609.98 59.41M	-0.86% -404.53
OGTi	32,245.33 12.94M	-0.42% -134.82

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	110,350.00	112,280.00 109,850.00	-1200.00 -1.08%
BRENT CRUDE	61.97	62.75 61.86	0.06 0.10%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	80.50	0.00 0.00	0.00 0.00%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	93.00	93.00 92.50	1.95 2.14%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,085.00	1,085.00 1,085.00	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	58.34	59.11 58.24	0.07 0.12%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	15.62	15.87 15.62	-0.07 -0.45%