PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	148,617.78 624.60M	0.86% 1274.27
ALLSHR	91,685.08 1,340.28M	0.74% 669.39
KSE30	45,247.79 197.43M	0.83% 370.74
KMI30	212,370.79 224.51M	1.05% 2209.48
KMIALLSHR	61,227.89 711.87M	1.18% 715.56
BKTi	41,264.02 160.39M	0.54% 221.73
OGTi	30,019.10 23.63M	0.64% 190.41

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	108,265.00	0.00 0.00	-510.00 -0.47%
BRENT CRUDE	67.46	67.94 67.29	-0.52 -0.76%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	88.70	88.70 88.70	-0.75 -0.84%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	96.15	96.75 96.00	-0.40 -0.41%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	1,106.50	1,106.50 1,106.50	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	64.01	0.00 0.00	0.00 0.00%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	16.34	16.52 16.33	-0.14 -0.85%