PSX may extend rally after elections, history shows

By Abdur Rahman | February 04, 2024 at 10:44 PM GMT+05:00

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February 04, 2024 (MLN): The record-breaking stock market's benchmark KSE-100 Index may continue its leg higher after February 08 elections, according to historical data.

The index has climbed an average 7.5% in the month following the past six polls, ever since the KSE-100 index was introduced.

The rally has typically continued, with the gauge advancing 18% on average in the next three months and 20% in the next six months.

KSE-100 has been trading sideways since mid-December, after posting the best annual performance in over a decade.

While in the current fiscal year, KSE-100 is the best-performing gauge in dollar terms among more than 90 equity indexes tracked by Bloomberg, having gained 55.5%.

Post-Election KSE-100 Index Performance
Election Date	After 1 Month	After 3 Months	After 6 Months
1993	14.9%	69.9%	77.6%
1997	2.4%	-3.4%	21.5%
2002	6.1%	32.4%	35.9%
2008	4.3%	-0.8%	-28.5%
2013	11.2%	16.7%	16.6%
2018	5.9%	-6.8%	-3.0%
Average Gain	7.5%	18.0%	20.0%

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Name	Price/Vol	%Chg/NChg
KSE100	120,465.93 122.21M	-1.23% -1505.11
ALLSHR	75,339.82 703.66M	-1.15% -877.42
KSE30	36,506.12 59.21M	-1.10% -406.83
KMI30	177,871.47 63.39M	-1.14% -2047.00
KMIALLSHR	51,657.22 334.26M	-1.05% -550.29
BKTi	30,014.92 13.36M	-0.91% -275.63
OGTi	26,998.97 8.29M	-1.79% -492.98

Symbol	Bid/Ask	High/Low

Name	Last	High/Low	Chg/%Chg
BITCOIN FUTURES	104,870.00	105,330.00 104,590.00	905.00 0.87%
BRENT CRUDE	76.19	76.80 75.67	-0.51 -0.66%
RICHARDS BAY COAL MONTHLY	88.00	0.00 0.00	-3.60 -3.93%
ROTTERDAM COAL MONTHLY	103.85	104.20 103.85	-0.25 -0.24%
USD RBD PALM OLEIN	998.50	998.50 998.50	0.00 0.00%
CRUDE OIL - WTI	73.12	73.80 72.63	-0.38 -0.52%
SUGAR #11 WORLD	16.35	16.56 16.20	-0.16 -0.97%