Oil prices stabilize after rally amid Middle East tensions

March 26, 2024 (MLN): Oil prices steadied after the biggest daily gain in a week yesterday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Brent crude traded near $86.73 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) was at $81.93 per barrel.

Both benchmarks rose more than 1.5% yesterday.

The Houthis renewed threats against Saudi Arabia if it supported US strikes,  as Bloomberg reported.

Moreover, OPEC+ delegates aren’t seeing a need to change supply policy at a review meeting next week, according to several national officials, with quotas in place until June proving effective.

Crude has risen almost 13% so far this quarter after breaking out of a tight range that it was in for the first couple of months.

Attacks by Ukraine on Russian refineries have aided gains, together with signs of strength in some product markets including gasoline.

The positive overall market outlook has spurred hedge funds to increase their bullish bets on Brent.

Signs of a shift in monetary policy have also aided sentiment.

The Federal Reserve has signaled a willingness to cut interest rates later this year, buoying appetite for risk assets including oil.

Crude futures have been tracking equity benchmarks in recent sessions.

“The risks of supply disruptions persist,” said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG Asia Pte in Singapore, citing the Russia-Ukraine war as more refiners are hit.

Weakness in the US dollar so far this week has also been supportive, he said.

The technical backdrop is positive, too, with Brent’s moving averages close to forming a golden cross, a bullish pattern.

That’s when an asset’s 50-day moving average exceeds the corresponding 200-day figure. Its last formation for the generic contract in August preceded Brent surging by more than $10 a barrel to above $95.

Copyright Mettis Link News