Inflation widely seen easing further in Oct

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MG News | October 31, 2024 at 12:48 PM GMT+05:00

October 31, 2024 (MLN): The headline inflation for October is expected to slow down with an average estimate of 6.8% YoY compared to 6.9% YoY in the previous month and 26.8% YoY in October 2023, as per the projections put forth by various brokerage houses/analysts.

This would bring 4MFY25 average inflation to around 8.6%, compared to 28.5% during same period last year.

On a monthly basis, the inflation is expected to move up with an average estimate of 1.0% compared to a decrease of 0.5% last month and the last 12-month average increase of 0.6%.

# Name/ Organisation MoM % YoY %
1 Sherman Securities -0.1% 5.7%
2 Adam Securities 0.4% 6.2%
3 Arif Habib Limited 0.5% 6.3%
4 JS Global Capital 0.6% 6.5%
5 Taurus Securities 0.8% 6.6%
6 Ismail Iqbal Securities 1.1% 7.0%
7 MG Research 1.2% 7.0%
8 Optimus Capital Management 1.2% 7.1%
9 Insight Securities 1.4% 7.2%
10 Akseer Research 1.4% 7.2%
  Median 1.0% 6.8%

 

Brokerage House Arif Habib Limited said it expects disinflation to persist in the upcoming months, primarily due to a high base effect.

Additionally, if global commodity and energy prices remain subdued while the PKR remains stable, it will further support our outlook for disinflation, it added.

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