Asian markets surge on receding trade war fears, ‘Kim visit’

AFP/APP – A wave of optimism flowed across Asian markets on Tuesday, tracking a surge on Wall Street, as fears of a US-China trade war receded.

Speculation that Kim Jong Un was on a surprise, secret visit to Beijing also lifted spirits — and the South Korean won — as the North Korean leader prepares for possible nuclear talks with Donald Trump.

The gains on all markets chipped away at the sharp losses suffered last week in response to the White House's decision to hit China with billions of dollars in tariffs.

That came weeks after Washington announced levies on steel and aluminum imports — which have since been postponed for some countries — and sparked talk of a trade war that could batter the global outlook.

However, nerves have been soothed this week as it emerged that high-level talks had been taking place between the world's top two economies to find an agreement.

“Our base case is that there won't be an all-out trade war,” Craig Macdonald, at Aberdeen Standard Investments, told Bloomberg News. “It's a way of applying pressure to get some wins by Trump.”

However, he said there would likely still be some volatility down the line, adding: “Our sense is that they will get some wins rather than all-out war, but it's not something you can just dismiss. The tail risk is higher.”

US markets surged, with the Dow and S&P 500 almost three percent higher and the NASDAQ piling on 3.3 percent — its biggest one-day rise since August 2015.

Those strong performances continued in Asia, with Tokyo ending the morning 1.7 percent higher thanks to a drop in the yen against the dollar as traders shift out of assets considered safe in times of uncertainty and turmoil.

'The nasty stick'

Hong Kong and Shanghai each added one percent, while Sydney climbed 0.7 percent, Singapore put on 0.6 percent and Wellington rose 0.9 percent. Taipei, Manila and Jakarta were all more than one percent up.

Seoul rose 0.6 percent and the won climbed a similar amount against the dollar on talk of Kim's visit to Beijing, which would be his first outside North Korea since assuming power at the end of 2011.

If confirmed, the visit would mark the latest development in the fast-paced shift towards an easing of tensions on the Korean peninsula.

While it was up against the yen, the dollar took a hit against most other currencies as optimistic traders shifted to higher-yielding, riskier units.

“The dollar is getting whacked with the nasty stick, but hardly surprising as the bar for dollar strength remains incredibly low,” said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trading at OANDA.

The Indonesian rupiah, Thai baht, South African rand and Mexican peso were all higher. Though the Russian ruble sank after more than 100 alleged agents working under diplomatic cover were ordered out by 21 world governments.

The move came after Britain urged allies to respond to the poisoning of double agent Sergei Skripal this month.

The greenback did rise against the euro, having tumbled Monday on comments from German central bank chief Jens Weidmann that the European Central Bank should quickly wind down its crisis-fighting policies of ultra-low interest rates and massive bond purchases.

Key figures around 0230 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.7 percent at 21,110.68 (break)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 1.0 percent at 30,849.77

Shanghai – Composite: UP 1.0 percent at 3,164.63

Dollar/yen: UP at 105.70 yen from 105.43 yen at 2100 GMT

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.2450 from $1.2500

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.4234 from $1.4230

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: UP five cents at $65.60 per barrel

Oil – Brent North Sea: UP three cents at $70.15

New York – Dow: UP 2.8 percent at 24,202.60 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.5 percent at 6,888.69 (close)

Posted on: 2018-03-27T09:35:00+05:00