July 12, 2019 (MLN): The Monetary Policy Committee of State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will meet next week on Tuesday, July 16, 2019 at SBP Head Office Karachi to decide about monetary policy rate for the next two months.
Governor SBP, Dr. Reza Baqir, will unveil the decision of the MPC at a press conference at 4:00 p.m. on the same day.
The policy rate currently stands at 12.25% and was last announced on May 20, 2019.
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28898
| Weekly Performance | ||
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | Nov 08, 2019 | |
| PKR InterBank | 155.3943 | 155.4744 |
| KSE100 Index | 37,583.89 | 35,978.16 |
| Avg Daily Volume | 311,168,252 | 258,173,846 |
| Gold (Karachi) Rs/10 gm | 73,903 | 74,374 |
| KIBOR 6M | 13.53 | 13.41 |
| 10Y PIB | 11.32 | 11.36 |
| EUR | 1.1049 | 1.1018 |
| GBP | 1.2886 | 1.2774 |
| CHF | 0.9895 | 0.9972 |
| JPY | 108.676 | 109.248 |
| GOLD | 1467.8 | 1458.3 |
| NY Light Crude | 57.75 | 57.21 |
| Open Market Rates | ||
| Nov 15, 2019 | Nov 08, 2019 | |
| USD | 155.60 | 156.00 |
| EUR | 172.10 | 172.60 |
| GBP | 200.80 | 200.00 |
| JPY | 1.4375 | 1.4303 |
| AED | 42.45 | 42.55 |
| SAR | 41.45 | 41.55 |
| SBP Data | ||
| T-Bill Auction Cutoff Yield | Nov 06, 2019 | Oct 23, 2019 |
| 3M | 13.2902 | 13.2981 |
| 6M | 13.2899 | 13.2999 |
| 12M | 12.7900 | 12.7900 |
| PIB Auction Cutoff Yield | Nov 13, 2019 | Oct 30, 2019 |
| 3Y | 11.7999 | 11.8000 |
| 5Y | 11.4500 | 11.6000 |
| 10Y | 11.3500 | 11.3500 |
| 20Y | Bids Rejected | Bids Rejected |
| Interest Rate Corridor | Jul 17, 2019 | May 21, 2019 |
| SBP Policy Rate | 13.25 | 12.25 |
| SBP Reverse Repo Rate | 13.75 | 12.75 |
| SBP Repo Rate | 11.75 | 10.75 |
| Weekly Indicators | ||
| Nov 08, 2019 | Nov 01, 2019 | |
| SBP FX Reserves * | 8,397.30 | 8,357.60 |
| Bank FX Reseves * | 7,105.10 | 7,160.30 |
| Total FX Reserves * | 15,502.40 | 15,517.90 |
| Nov 07, 2019 | Oct 31, 2019 | |
| SPI (Combined Group) ** | 131.10 | 130.36 |
| Change - WoW (pct) | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| Change - YOY (pct) | 19.03 | 18.44 |
| Monthly Indicators | ||
| October | September | |
| Consumer Price Index (Base 2015-16) | 129.16 | 126.86 |
| Change - MOM (pct) | 1.82 | 0.77 |
| Change - YOY (pct) | 11.04 | 11.37 |
| WholeSale Price Index (Base 2015-16) | 143.28 | 140.49 |
| Change - MOM (pct) | 1.99 | 0.07 |
| Change - YOY (pct) | 13.22 | 15.90 |
| Sensitive Price Indicator (Base 2015-16) | 128.50 | 125.72 |
| Change - MOM (pct) | 2.21 | 1.51 |
| Change - YOY (pct) | 16.26 | 17.54 |
| October | September | |
| Exports * | 2,024.00 | 1,769.00 |
| Imports * | 4,074.00 | 3,785.00 |
| Trade Balance * | -2,050.00 | -2,016.00 |
| October | September | |
| Home Remittances * | 2,000.80 | 1,747.95 |
| September | August | |
| Total Foreign Investment * | 622.56 | 156.78 |
| Quarterly Indicators | ||
| Sep 30, 2019 | Jun 30, 2019 | |
| Pakistan's External Debt * | 106,890.98 | 106,348.38 |
| Annual Indicators | ||
| 2018-19 | 2017-18 | |
| GDP Growth Rate | 3.29 | 5.53 |
| Agriculture | 0.85 | 3.94 |
| Manufacturing | -0.27 | 5.43 |
| Commodity Sector | 1.13 | 4.45 |
| Services Sector | 4.71 | 6.25 |
| Trade Balance * (July - June) | -31,820.00 | -37,583.00 |
| Worker Remittances * (July - June) | 21,841.50 | 19,913.55 |
| Foreign Investment * (July - June) | 329.89 | 5,680.93 |
| Annual Inflation Rate % (July - June) | 7.32 | 3.92 |
| * Amount in USD Million | ||
| ** Weekly SPI Data for Nov 14, 2019 Not Released by PBS | ||
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November 17, 2019 (MLN): The KSE-100 Index gained another 1,605 points over the week and concluded at 37,583-mark, i.e. up by 4.46%, as compared to previous week’s closing of 35,978 points.
Commercial Banks, Power Generation & Distribution, Cement and E&P companies emerged as the top gainers during the week, as they collectively contributed 994 points to the index. Company wise, the scrips of HUBC, HBL, BAHL, ENGRO and TRG earned the maximum gains.
Meanwhile, the KSE All Share Market Cap increased by Rs. 253.4 billion or 3.64% over the week, being recorded at Rs. 7.22 trillion as compared to a Market Cap of Rs. 6.66 trillion recorded last week.
This week, the local investors bought securities worth Rs. 66.7 billion, amongst which, Individual investors emerged as the largest net buyers as they bought securities worth Rs. 41.9 billion. On the other hand, local investors sold securities worth Rs. 67.3 billion. This resulted in an overall net selling of Rs. 651.7 million over the week.
Forex Update:
The Rupee continued it run against the dollar for the sixth successive week, gaining 8 more paisa with the dollar closing at 155.39 compared to 155.47 from the previous Friday.
During the last six weeks the PKR has appreciated by 1.13 Rupees against the dollar.
Data released by the State Bank of Pakistan of showed PKR’s Real Effective Exchange rate increased by 1.91 percent in September.
PKR has become increasing stable as the 30 Day volatility dropped to 0.49 percent compared to 60 day volatility of 1.37 percent on the back of increasing remittances and foreign investment and decreasing trade deficit.
Fixed Income:
Bond and T-Bill yields in the secondary market were mixed as shorted term yields increased and longer term yields decreased. Yield for Bond and MTB’s up to 3 years increased, with 2 year PIB’s increasing by 36 basis points compared to last week.
On the other hand, following the cut-off yields from the PIB auction the 5 year yield decreased by 15 basis points.
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November 17, 2019 (MLN): The departed week witnessed series of several important developments that have a direct impact on the economic operations of Pakistan. These developments include:
On Friday, The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) released the auction calendar for the next three months, Nov-Jan, in which it aims to raise Rs.3.75 trillion from the auction of Market Treasury Bills (MTB) and Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIB).
Mr. Muhammad Usman Dar, Special Assistant to the Prime Minister on Youth Affairs; along with Mr. Asad Umer, Chairman National Assembly Standing Committee on Finance, chaired a high-level meeting with the representatives from State Bank of Pakistan, Presidents and senior officials of National Bank of Pakistan, Bank of Punjab, and Bank of Khyber to review the processing of loan applications received under Youth Entrepreneurship Scheme (YES) of Kamyab jawan Programme.
The same day, IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, has led the financing of a first-of-its-kind program to build six wind power projects in Pakistan, named the Super Six, with a total investment of US$450 million, to help deliver cleaner, cheaper power to meet the country’s critical demand for energy and reduce reliance on expensive imported fossil fuels.
Moreover, Prime Minister Imran Khan said the country's economy has stabilized with all economic indicators moving on the positive trajectory. He was speaking at the signing ceremony of Super-6 310-MW Wind Power Projects in Islamabad.
On Thursday, The Parliamentary Secretary for Maritime Affairs Jamil Ahmed Khan in the National Assembly said that draft of deep fishing policy was ready and soon it would be tabled in the Cabinet for approval. The government was determined to take the export of fish up to three billion dollars, from 400 million dollars, said Parliamentary Secretary.
Furthermore, Finance Advisor, Dr Abdul Hafeez Shaikh addressed at Peace and Development Conference in Islamabad. He said a country’s progress and growth is highly dependent with the other countries’ progress in the region.He mentioned to attract foreign investment, the country should adopt attractive policies. The conditions offered should be conducive for investment. Alone one country could not offer thousands of jobs.
On Wednesday, The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) conducted an auction on Wednesday in which sold PIBs worth Rs.188.43 Billion in fixed and floating rate bonds.
PM Imran Khan had addressed the MoU signing ceremony between Pakistan and China. Pakistani company, Daewoo Pakistan Express Bus Service Limited and Chinese Company, Doublestar MSD Tyres signed a joint venture to manufacture tyres.
In addition, Economic Coordination Committee (ECC) at its meeting in Islamabad fixed the wheat support price at 1350 rupees per forty kilogram.The meeting was chaired by Adviser on Finance Hafeez Sheikh.
The electric vehicles manufacturers and assemblers have come together to establish Pakistan Electric Vehicles Manufacturers Association (PEVMA) with Mr Sheikh Ehtesham ul Haq of SZS Group and Mr Muhammad Ayaz of Green Wheels Private Limited nominated as Chairman and Senior Vice Chairman of the association.
Besides, the recent measures by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) to make the process of companies’ incorporation easy and hassle-free, led to 19 % increase in the registration of new companies in October 2019. In October, the SECP has registered 1,659 new companies, raising the number of total registered companies to 107,062.
On Tuesday, The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has, once again, strongly denied that any proposal to discontinue Rs. 5,000 currency note has been forwarded by SBP.
Besides, The Governor State Bank of Pakistan, Dr Reza Baqir briefed on the economy which covered a range of issues in a press conference, held in State Bank’s head office. He said that he will announce some measures to boost trade and ease of doing business. Two decisions have been taken to smooth the business activity- advance payment eased, and other contract services from abroad problems to be eased.
The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) has approved the Growth Enterprise Market Listing Regulations to enable Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), Greenfield projects, Not for Profit and other companies to raise capital through capital markets conveniently.
The same day, Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) signed implementation agreements with various companies for setting up 11 wind power projects in Jhimpir Sindh.
Moreover, The Central Directorate of National Savings (CDNS) has collected a net target of Rs 20 billion by November 8, of the fiscal year 2019-20.
The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) has notified revised prices of Regasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG) for the current month. According to the notification, there is $0.228 per mmbtu (Million British Thermal Unit) increase in sale price of imported RLNG on the system of Sui Southern Gas Pipelines Company (SSGC) for the month of November as compared to the last month. The new price of the RLNG for SSGC system has been fixed at $ 10.9385 per mmbtu.
On Monday, the Prime Minister Imran Khan was chairing a high-level meeting on restoration and promotion of the construction sector in Islamabad on Monday. He said the development of the construction sector is essential to accelerate the economic growth of the country.
The government has decided to announce a package of Rs 200 billion for exporters to promote exports besides increasing production and job opportunities in the country, Advisor to Prime Minster on Finance and Revenue Dr Abdul Hafeez Shaikh said.
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November 17, 2019 (MLN): The financial picture of the country in full details was highlighted with the economic and financial data releases over the course of the week.
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Nov 16, 2019: The price of 24 karat gold decreased by Rs50 and was traded at Rs 86,150 per tola, against the last closing of Rs 86,200 per tola the previous day, Karachi Sarafa Association reported Saturday.
Likewise, the price of 10 gram gold also declined by Rs43 to Rs73960 against Rs 74,3903 during the previous day.
The price of silver remained stable and was traded at Rs 1000 per tola and that of 10 gram silver was traded at Rs 857.34.
In international market, the price of per ounce gold increased by $3 and was traded at $ 1469 against closing of $ 1466 on last trading day.
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