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MPS Preview: High for Longer

LSM Index up 5.89 percent for July – March, 2018

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According to the latest data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, “the over-all output of Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) increased by 5.89% for July – March, 2017 – 18 compared to July – March, 2016-17.”

Major contribution to the overall LSMI growth came from the phenomenal growth of 12.31 percent in the Oil Companies Advisory Committee followed by the 7.21 percent growth in Provincial BOS. However, the major impact on the LSMI Index came from the 4.85 percent growth in the Ministry of Production. 

S.No

Source

Indices for July March

% Change

YOY impact

2017-18 2016-17

1

OCAC

119.57

106.47

12.31

0.72

2

Ministry of Industries

144.14

137.47

4.85

3.33

3

Provisional BOS

176.24

164.39

7.21

1.84

4

Overall

149.26

140.97

5.89

Amongst the items under OCAC, Petroleum Products production grew by a whopping 45.33 percent during the cumulative period, followed by the 44.93 percent growth in LPG Production.

Furthermore, in the Ministry of Industries list of items, Cigarette Production spiked by more than 84.90 percent, with total output from sacking growing by more than 51 percent during the outgoing nine months.

Furthermore, under the indices of March, 2018 the LSMI increased by 2.81 percent in March, 2018 compared to March, 2017 and increased by 5.88 percent when compared against February, 2018.

In a month on month comparison, OCAC reported an 8.46 percent increase with a growth impact on the LSMI Index at 1.31 percent coupled with a 8.23 growth impact of -1.62 percent on the index. However, the index also got a decent lift up from the month on month change of -1.17 percent resulting in a 9.76 growth impact.

Eleven of the major sectors of economy were up during the cumulative period of July – March, whereas four sectors were down during the cumulative period under review.

Manufacturing Items

Weight

% Change

YOY growth Impact

March 2018

July – March

2017-2018

Monthly

Cumulative

Textile

20.915

0.02

0.44

0.00

0.12

Food, Beverages and Tobacco

12.370

3.28

 

2.67

1.11

0.60

Coke and petroleum products

5.514

30.11

12.31

1.31

0.72

Pharmaceutical

3.620

-31.95

4.37

-2.27

0.37

Non Metallic and Mineral Products

5.364

14.02

12.14

1.38

1.31

Automobiles

4.613

15.32

18.95

0.94

1.28

Iron and steel products

5.392

5.51

27.49

0.20

1.02

Electronics

1.963

5.21

45.16

0.09

0.76

Paper and Board

2.314

1.98

8.95

0.06

0.31

Engineering Products

0.400

2.53

5.51

0.00

0.01

Rubber products

0.262

6.58

5.91

0.02

0.03

Posted on: 2018-05-18T10:17:00+05:00